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The dollar stood just off its highest since early November against a handful of peer currencies on Tuesday, raising intervention worries as the yen languished at its lowest level since 1990 following hotter-than-expected U.S. retail sales. The dollar stood just off its highest since early November against a handful of peer currencies on Tuesday, raising intervention worries as the yen languished at its lowest level since 1990 following hotter-than-expected U.S. retail sales. In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.7% last month, compared with the 0.3% rise that economists polled by Reuters had forecast. The Japanese yen languished under the dollar's continued strength and large interest rate differential between the two countries, breaching 154 to hit a fresh 34-year low against the dollar on Monday. The offshore Chinese yuan was mostly unchanged at 7.2620 per dollar ahead of the key economic data releases out of China.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Shunichi Suzuki, Index's Simpson, bitcoin Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, U.S ., U.S, Traders, Japanese Finance, European Central Bank Locations: China, U.S, Middle
Gold near record high on growing geopolitical concerns
  + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices ticked up, hovering near record-high levels, as fears of escalating tensions in the Middle East drove investors towards the safe-haven metal. Gold prices ticked up on Tuesday, not too far away from a record high hit last week, as concerns about rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel propped up demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,387.11 per ounce, as of 0355 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,431.29 on Friday. Gold rose 1.6% in the previous session despite data showing U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in March. Citi projected gold prices to trade at $3,000 per ounce over the next 6-18 months.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: East, City Index, U.S ., Citi Locations: Iran, Israel, U.S, India, China
Dollar steady ahead of jobs data; yen hits two-week high
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen, while still close to the 152 range, hit a two-week high against the greenback as safe-haven bids and fresh warnings from Japanese authorities buoyed the currency. The dollar has had a turbulent week, falling from a five-month high to a two-week low after an unexpected slowdown in U.S. services growth supported expectations of bringing interest rates down. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was last largely unchanged at 104.18. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki on Friday reiterated the government's resolve to take appropriate action against sharp yen falls. The yen strengthened 0.29% versus the greenback to a two-week high of 150.92.
Persons: payrolls, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Charu Chanana, Joe Biden, Matt Simpson, Shunichi Suzuki, Kazuo Ueda, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, The U.S, greenback, Minneapolis Federal, Saxo, Biden, Finance, Bank of Japan, Asahi Locations: The, Minneapolis, Gaza, Iran
Gold smashes record again as U.S. inflation worries loom
  + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices extended a record run on Wednesday as concerns of rising inflation boosted demand for gold as a hedge, with bullion traders shrugging off doubts over an imminent U.S. interest rate cut and rising Treasury yields. Gold prices extended a record run on Wednesday as concerns of rising inflation boosted demand for gold as a hedge, with bullion traders shrugging off doubts over an imminent U.S. interest rate cut and rising Treasury yields. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,286.24 per ounce, as of 0406 GMT, and hit a record high of $2,288.09 earlier in the session. Data this week showed U.S. manufacturing unexpectedly rebounded, with the rise in raw materials prices triggering fears that inflation could resurge. "With commodity prices rising in general, it brings the risks of another round of inflation - so perhaps investors are hedging for inflation," Simpson said.
Persons: Bullion, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Edward Meir said Organizations: Index, Federal Locations: U.S, Ukraine, Asia
Gold subdued as dollar firms, investors seek more Fed cues
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices held steady on Tuesday despite a stronger dollar and elevated Treasury yields, as investors awaited the minutes of the last U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting for more clues on its interest rate cut timing. Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday due to an uptick in the dollar, although bullion traded in a narrow range as investors stayed on the sidelines awaiting more cues on the U.S. Federal Reserve policy. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,176.80 per ounce, as of 0533 GMT. The dollar index strengthened 0.1% against its rivals, making gold more expensive for other currency holders. "It's difficult to construct an overly bearish case for gold prices with the current backdrop of geopolitics and potential central easing," City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Austan Goolsbee, JP Morgan Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Federal, Index, Chicago Fed, Fed Locations: U.S
Dollar steadies as traders weigh hotter-than-expected inflation
  + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar held steady against a handful of rival currencies on Wednesday, as traders weighed what impact hotter-than-expected inflation data could have on chances of an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's June meeting. The U.S. dollar held steady against a handful of rival currencies on Wednesday, as traders weighed what impact hotter-than-expected inflation data could have on chances of an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's June meeting. The U.S. consumer price index, or CPI, increased solidly in February, beating forecasts and suggesting some stickiness in inflation. That has left analysts wondering whether the Fed will have sufficient data to justify more than a couple of rate cuts all year. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of peer currencies, was little changed at 102.91.
Persons: Powell, Matt Simpson, Kazuo Ueda's, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal, Fund, U.S ., CPI, Bank of Japan, Traders, European Central Bank Locations: U.S
Gold rally hits pause ahead of U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices took a breather from a record-breaking rally on Monday, which was fueled by a cooling U.S. labor market and remarks from the Federal Reserve, with traders awaiting a U.S. inflation report for fresh clues on the timing of rate cuts. Gold set a record peak of $2,194.99 for the fourth straight day on Friday after data signaled a cooling U.S. labor market. COMEX gold speculators raised their net long positions by 63,018 contracts to 131,060 in the week ended March 5, data showed on Friday. A cooler reading on the CPI print could help the case for an early rate cut, supporting gold prices.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson, Powell Organizations: Co, Federal, Index, Traders Locations: Bangkok, Thailand
Gold hovers near one-month peak on slowing U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices hovered near a month high on Friday after data suggested easing U.S. price pressures, while traders awaited remarks from several Federal Reserve officials. Gold prices hovered near a month high on Friday after data suggested easing U.S. price pressures, while traders awaited remarks from several Federal Reserve officials. Gold traders rejoiced the fact that core-PCE slowed annually," City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said. Money market pricing shows traders are pricing in three quarter-point U.S. rate cuts for 2024. "Whilst negative ETF flows are capping gold prices, China's central bank is a key reason that gold prices remain supported, as they were the second highest purchaser of gold reserves in the fourth quarter," Simpson said.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson Organizations: Federal Reserve, PCE, Index, U.S
Dollar on defensive after pullback from nearly 3-month peak
  + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar remained under pressure on Wednesday after retreating from a nearly three-month high against the euro in the previous session with a decline in U.S. bond yields adding to the drag. The dollar remained under pressure on Wednesday after retreating from a nearly three-month high against the euro in the previous session with a decline in U.S. bond yields adding to the drag. U.S. Treasury yields also turned down from highs overnight on solid demand at a sale of new three-year notes, removing some support for the dollar. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, including the euro, was flat at 104.14, following Tuesday's 0.29% slide. The currency pair tends to be extremely sensitive to moves in Treasury yields.
Persons: Jerome Powell scuppered, Matt Simpson, James Kniveton Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Asia
Gold slides as US jobs data dampens bets of early rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices fell on Monday, as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields surged after a robust jobs report crushed expectations of near-term interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Spot gold was down 0.5% at $2,029.03 per ounce by 0556 GMT. Traders are betting on four quarter-point Fed rate cuts for 2024, down from six last Monday, according to LSEG's interest rate probability app IRPR. Investors are awaiting remarks from a host of Fed speakers this week for further clues on rate cuts. Spot silver fell 0.5% to $22.56 per ounce, palladium dropped 0.8% to $939.26, while platinum rose 0.5% to $894.99.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, Simpson Organizations: U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, Index, Traders, U.S . Labor, Reuters, Fed Locations: Singapore
Gold set for monthly dip on rate caution; Fed in focus
  + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Spot gold edged 0.1% lower to $2,033.88 per ounce by 0513 GMT, after touching a two-week high of $2048.12 in the previous session. The chances of a March rate cut have dropped to 44% from about 90% a month ago. "With renewed hopes of a truce in Gaza, today's FOMC meeting runs the risk of disappointing doves and weighing on gold," said Simpson. Spot silver dropped 0.5% to $23.05 per ounce, platinum slipped 0.2% to $918.79, and palladium rose 0.2% to $977.67.
Persons: it's, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Jerome Powell Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve, Fed, Index, Traders, Treasury Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S, Gaza
Dollar keeps tight ranges ahead of Fed, jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A Chinese 100 yuan banknote, a 1 U.S. dollar bill and a 50 euro banknote are lying on a table. The dollar was steady in the Asian morning, with market participants moving cautiously ahead of the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off on Tuesday. "I suspect that the FOMC meeting will not be as dovish as current market pricing suggests," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. The data will give another indication of whether the world's largest economy remains strong after the Fed's aggressive hiking campaign. Sterling was last trading at $1.2716, holding firm ahead of the Bank of England's monetary policy meeting this week.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, hasn't, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang Organizations: U.S . Department of Labor, U.S ., Central Bank, Bank, DBS, Fed Locations: U.S
Gold holds steady as traders anticipate US economic data
  + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold edged 0.1% lower to $2,026.39 per ounce by 0348 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.1% to $2,028.00. The odds of a Fed rate cut in March have dropped to 49% from about 71% two weeks ago, according to LSEG's interest-rate probability app IRPR. The U.S. dollar index fell 0.1%, while yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slipped from a more than a month high to 4.1111%. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $22.55 per ounce, platinum was steady at $898.95, and palladium fell 0.1% to $945.88.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, U.S, PMI Locations: Singapore, U.S
Gold frail as dollar, yields strength dim shine
  + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices were subdued on Tuesday as the dollar and Treasury yields rose, while traders waited to hear from a slew of U.S. Federal Reserve speakers this week for more clarity on the central bank's rate cut prospects. The dollar index touched a 10-day high, making bullion less attractive for other currency holders, while yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury notes rose above 4%. Elsewhere, European Central Bank officials pushed back against market expectations for rapid rate cuts this year. According to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao, spot gold may retrace to $2,042 per ounce, after its repeated failures to break resistance at $2,060.
Persons: Christopher Waller's, Matt Simpson, Christopher Waller, Waller, Simpson, Wang Tao Organizations: Co, . Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Brookings Institution, Traders, Central Bank Locations: Bangkok, Thailand
Spot gold rose 0.3% at $2,042.58 per ounce by 0621 GMT on Friday, and is up about 2% for the week so far. The metal rose $60 in November in its second straight monthly gain. Data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending rose moderately in October, while the annual increase in inflation was the smallest in more than 2-1/2 years. "However, month-end flow may have also been a factor, and seasonality tends to favour gains for gold between November and December," City Index's Simpson added. Spot silver and platinum edged up 0.1% to $25.29 and $927.44 per ounce, respectively, while palladium rose 0.4% to $1,011.65.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Powell, Matt Simpson, CME's, Index's Simpson, Hugo Pascal, Harshit Verma, Nivedita Bhattacharjee, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold set for 3rd weekly gain as cooler data cements Fed cut bets
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices were set to mark a third straight weekly rise on Friday, after data showing cooling inflation cemented bets for a rate cut in the U.S., with traders looking forward to comments from Federal Reserve's Chair Powell later in the day. Spot gold rose 0.2% at $2,039.42 per ounce by 0427 GMT, after marking an over $60 rise in November — its second straight monthly rise. Data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending rose moderately in October, while the annual increase in inflation was the smallest in more than 2-1/2 years. "However, month-end flow may have also been a factor, and seasonality tends to favor gains for gold between November and December," City Index's Simpson added.
Persons: Powell, Matt Simpson, CME's, Index's Simpson, Hugo Pascal Organizations: Aurum, Traders, U.S Locations: U.S, InProved
Gold and silver bars of various sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum in Munich. Gold steadied after touching a six-month peak on Tuesday, as expectations of an end to the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle kept the dollar and bond yields under check. Spot gold was little changed at $2,014.12 per ounce by 0412 GMT, after hitting its highest since May 16. The dollar index touched its lowest since late August against its rivals, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver fell 0.3% to $24.55 per ounce, platinum was down 0.5% to $913.90.
Persons: Gold, Matt Simpson, Simpson, CME's Organizations: Aurum, U.S, Index, Fed, Traders Locations: Munich, U.S . Federal, U.S, China, Hong Kong
Gold slips below $2,000 level as dollar halts slide
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Brijesh Patel | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,996.33 per ounce, as of 0335 GMT. However, "the move lower in the U.S. dollar looks overextended ... And with an effective 4-day weekend looming in the U.S., gold currently lacks the legs to commit fully above $2,000." A weaker dollar makes gold less expensive for other currency holders. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. existing home sales dropped to the lowest level in more than 13 years in October. Swiss gold exports in October rose to their highest level since May as deliveries to India surged to meet demand during the country's festive season, customs data showed.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Matt Simpson, CME's, Brijesh Patel, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Index, U.S, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Swiss, India, Bengaluru
Dollar hovers near 2-1/2-month lows, easing pressure on yen
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The Japanese yen and U.S. dollar on display in Yichang, Hubei province, Nov 13, 2023. The dollar index held around 2-1/2-month lows after minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting did little to dislodge market expectations that its monetary tightening cycle was over. Treasury yields slipped again overnight to hover around 4.40%, easing further pressure on the yen. The Japanese yen advanced around 0.1% versus the greenback to 148.28, clinging to recent gains after ticking up slightly from as low as 147.155 overnight. While speculation that the Bank of Japan could exit from negative interest rates early next year should help stabilize the yen, the Japanese currency still faces strong headwinds.
Persons: Matt Simpson, CME's, Sterling, Simpson, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S, Index, Treasury, Bank of Japan, IG Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, U.S
"The data side has been very quiet so the main drivers have been the hawkish comments from Fed speakers," said ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole. Focus now turns to remarks from Fed Chair Powell later on Wednesday. DARKENING GROWTH OUTLOOKThe euro fell 0.3% to $1.0670, further weighed by a darkening growth outlook in the euro zone. "The mixed outlook for consumer and investment spending leaves the euro zone very close to recession," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek. "Regardless of whether the euro zone falls into recession, we see enough growth headwinds to suggest that the European Central Bank's monetary tightening is done."
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Francesco Pesole, They've, Powell, Matt Simpson, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, ING's Pesole, Luci Ellis, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Lincoln, Christina Fincher, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve, U.S, ING, Central, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson
Dollar licks its wounds ahead of Fed Chair Powell's remarks
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The British pound , which earlier in the week hit a seven-week top against the dollar, was last some distance away at $1.2286. Focus now turns to a speech by Fed Chair Powell later on Wednesday. The euro fell 0.07% to $1.0691, further weighed by a darkening growth outlook in the euro zone. "The mixed outlook for consumer and investment spending leaves the euro zone very close to recession," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek. "Regardless of whether the euro zone falls into recession, we see enough growth headwinds to suggest that the European Central Bank's monetary tightening is done."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, We're, Powell, Simpson, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, Luci Ellis Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, U.S ., Central, Australian, Reserve Bank of Australia, New Zealand
Gold set for first weekly drop in four, U.S. jobs data in focus
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold was headed for its first weekly loss in nearly a month on Friday as the safe-haven rally cooled, while traders largely kept to the sidelines ahead of the U.S. non-farm payrolls data due later in the day. "Gold prices have slipped back due to a reduction in the geopolitical risk premium as the markets get used to the idea of a long slog between Israel and Hamas," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets. "Money is coming out of gold and the U.S. dollar and moving back into risky assets." Investors focus now shifts to U.S. non-farm payrolls data, due at 1230 GMT, which is expected to show that employers added 180,000 jobs last month. The jobs report needs to deliver some surprisingly weak figures to weigh further on Treasury yields and push gold prices above the $2,000-per-ounce mark, City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
Persons: Gold, Michael Hewson, Stocks, Matt Simpson Organizations: U.S ., Hamas, CMC Markets, Federal Reserve, Index Locations: Moscow, Russia, Israel
But it's also likely the BOJ have their finger on the intervention button to cap any runaway rally on USD/JPY." Nevertheless, this is working in a way to increase the volatility of the global rates market. This means it will still have a certain distance until the BOJ exit from the negative rate policy." "A yield cap isn't a yield cap if you change it every time the market gets close." The Bank of Japan could lift the negative policy rate to zero over the coming year.
Persons: Kim Kyung, KYLE RODDA, MATT SIMPSON, JPY, it's, NOMURA, They've, TONY SYCAMORE, normalisation, TAKAYUKI MIYAJIMA, ROB CARNELL, they're, JEFF NG, TOM NASH, OMORI, SHOTARO KUGO, me, IZURU KATO, MARCEL THIELIANT, today's, FREDERIC NEUMANN, CHRISTOPHER WONG, BOJ's, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Bank of, Nikkei, SAXO, SONY, ING, UBS, CHIEF, DAIWA, OF, HSBC, Global, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, MELBOURNE, BRISBANE, SINGAPORE, TOKYO, U.S, SYDNEY, ASIA, PACIFIC, CHIEF JAPAN, stagflation, OF ASIA, YCC, HONG KONG
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices held steady near the key $2,000 level on Monday, buoyed by safe-haven demand from an escalating Middle East conflict, as investors awaited the outcome from the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week. While the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the focus will be on Chair Jerome Powell's commentary. "That should keep a floor under gold prices, which look quite comfortable above $2,000 at the start of the week." Although gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates dull non-yielding bullion's appeal.
Persons: Khan Younis, Jerome Powell's, Matt Simpson Organizations: Aurum, U.S, Palestinian, Index, Commerce Department, Reuters Locations: U.S . Federal, Gaza, Al, Quds, Khan, Israel, U.S
Gold firms as U.S. bond yields slip, Middle East stays in focus
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins in different sizes are lying in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. "Gold had a great run, having rallied over 10% in ten days towards that key resistance level at $2,000. But with the Middle East conflict looking like it might not escalate immediately, gold may struggle to break $2,000. The dollar index eased while benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields inched lower as investors bought into a recent sell-off. Spot silver was steady at $22.91 per ounce, platinum steadied at $884.63 and palladium advanced 0.5% to $1,124.80.
Persons: we've, Matt Simpson, Jerome Organizations: Aurum, Treasury, Russia, Hamas, City Index's, U.S Locations: Israel, U.S, Gaza, Palestinian
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